zondag 31 december 2017

Iranians chant ‘death to dictator’ in biggest unrest since crushing of protests in 2009



Afbeeldingsresultaat voor the Observer

Iranians chant ‘death to dictator’ in biggest unrest since crushing of protests in 2009

Trump warns Tehran regime to respect freedom of speech as at least two protesters die in demonstrations

Students protested at the University of Tehran yesterday but were outnumbered by pro-government supporters. Students protested at the University of Tehran yesterday but were outnumbered by pro-government supporters. Photograph: STR/AFP/Getty Images

Iranians took to the streets for a third day of anti-government protests in what appeared to be the biggest domestic political challenge to Tehran’s leaders since the 2009 Green movement was crushed by security forces.
At least two protesters were killed in the city of Doroud, in Iran’s western Lourestan province, as the riot police opened fire to contain a group of people said to have been trying to occupy the local governor’s office. Clashes between demonstrators and the anti-riot police became violent in some cities as the demonstrations spread.
The two men killed in Doroud have been identified as Hamzeh Lashni and Hossein Reshno, according to an Iranian journalist with the Voice of America’s Persian service who has spoken to their families. Videos posted online showed their bodies on the ground, covered with blood. Another video showed protesters carrying their bodies to safety. At least two others were also reported to have been killed in Doroud, but this could not be independently verified.
Elsewhere it appeared that the security forces held people back, with sporadic use of teargas. The number of people joining protests increased as night fell, making it difficult for the authorities to target protesters.
“Death to Khamenei” chants, in reference to the country’s supreme leader, featured in many demonstrations. Videos posted on social media from Tehran and at least one other city – Abhar in Zanjan province – showed protesters taking down banners depicting the images of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Such chants and acts of resistance are unprecedented in a country where the supreme leader holds the ultimate authority and criticising him is taboo.
There were also chants in support of monarchy and the late shah. The scale of protests in the provinces appeared bigger than those witnessed in 2009, although more people went on to the streets of Tehran then than have so far been seen this time.
Earlier, the US president, Donald Trump, used Twitter to warn the Iranian government against a crackdown as thousands of pro-government Iranians also marched in long-scheduled protests in support of the leadership. But, for the third day running, ordinary Iranians, frustrated by the feeble economy, rising inflation and lack of opportunity, defied warnings against “illegal gatherings”.



“Everyone is fed up with the situation, from the young to the old,” said Ali, who lives near the city of Rasht, where there were big protests on Friday. He asked not to be identified. “Every year thousands of students graduate, but there are no jobs for them. Fathers are also exhausted because they don’t earn enough to provide for their family.”
In the capital students gathered near Tehran university chanted “death to the dictator”. Clashes with security forces followed. It was not clear how many were detained in Tehran on Saturday, but scores of protesters are believed to have been arrested in western Kermanshah and eastern Mashhad, the conservative second city of Iran, where the latest unrest began.
Although small-scale economic protests, about failed banks or shrinking pensions, are not unusual in Iran, it is uncommon for demonstrations to escalate across the country or to mix political slogans with other complaints.
“It spread very quickly in a way that nobody had really anticipated,” said Ali Ansari, a professor of Iranian history at the University of St Andrews. “It’s the biggest demonstration since 2009. The widespread nature of it and provincial nature of it has been quite a surprise.”
He thinks the protests were originally sanctioned by hardliners seeking to undermine President Hassan Rouhani, but says their apparently spontaneous organisation makes it hard to predict how they will evolve.
“I think they started something and then they lost control of it; it has taken a life of its own. We have to see if it gains traction. The trouble is that there is no organisation. I don’t know what the outcome will be.”
The state broadcaster Irib covered the protests briefly and they featured on the front pages of many newspapers, unlike in 2009, when most news of protests was kept out of official media.
The Revolutionary Guard, whose Basij militia coordinated the 2009 crackdown, warned that it would “not allow the country to be hurt”. But leaders in Tehran, already facing a government in Washington hostile to them and friendly to the regional rival, Saudi Arabia, know they are under close scrutiny.
On Twitter, Trump wrote: “Many reports of peaceful protests by Iranian citizens fed up with regime’s corruption and its squandering of the nation’s wealth to fund terrorism abroad. Iranian govt should respect their people’s rights, including right to express themselves. The world is watching! #IranProtests.”
That intervention is unlikely to go down well in Iran, where the US is widely believed to be seeking regime change. In June, the US secretary of state, Rex Tillerson, told the US Congress that America is working towards “support of those elements inside of Iran that would lead to a peaceful transition of that government”.
There are already deep frustrations that unilateral US financial sanctions have made most banks wary of processing money for Iran or extending credit to its firms. The 2015 nuclear deal led to the lifting of international sanctions so that Iran could sell oil again on international markets but, without access to capital, it is struggling to unleash the growth that Rouhani and his supporters hoped would follow. The economic problems this creates are serious. Youth unemployment stands at about 40%, more than three million Iranians are jobless, and the prices of some basic food items, such as poultry and eggs, have recently soared by almost half.
“This has started from the bottom of the society, from the less fortunate,” Reza, a Mashhad resident, said. “This is not middle-class protesting, this is lower-class demonstrating, people of the suburbs; many are fed up with situation.”

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My Comments :
That intervention [of USA president Trump] is unlikely to go down well in Iran, where the US is widely believed to be seeking regime change. In June, the US secretary of state, Rex Tillerson, told the US Congress that America is working towards “support of those elements inside of Iran that would lead to a peaceful transition of that government”.
1. This seems to say it all, except from the decisive notion that the claimed peaceful transition, in fact will appear to be an effort of regime change (and geo-political change, by trying to break up the targeted country in different pieces (mostly) along ethnic lines) by way of violence.
2. The classic approach of the USA when they have decided to organise some kind of regime change, is to make contact with opposition groups inside the country of the targeted regime, and try to seduce the opposition to start provocative protest demonstrations.
3. The next step in that scenario is the anticipation of a harsh and violent repression from the regime and most importantly, the necessary steps of calculated escalation of the social unrest into some kind of civil war (!).

4. The calculated initiation of a civil war-scenario, for example by having some imported snipers shooting at the crowd of demonstrators (also to be observed during the western intervention in the Ukraine)  and / or at the Iranian National Guard (only recently proclaimed by the USA to be foreseen to be placed on the list of terrorist organisations) or to have executed a bomb attack on the National Guard.
5. We have seen this pattern of intentionally "organising creative chaos" and "creative destruction" all before (the Condo Rice doctrine) and we all know by now what the strategic aims are supposed to be of waging just another war in the ME.
6. After Iraq, Libya, Syria and Yemen, Iran apparently will be next in line on the list Wesley Clark
7.. However, since the violent USA/UK regime change exercise in Iran in the fifties, that toppled the democratically chosen nationalist leader Mossadeq - and the replacement of Mossadeq by the cruel western orientated dictator calling himself "the Shah of Persia" - the USA has indeed been a national hate-figure under the Iranian population.
8. So it will not be implausible to suggest in this context, that the USA (and their closest ally in the ME) will try to wage a war by proxy against Shiite Iran, most likely by their favourite Sunni proxy SA, with secretive military, logistical and diplomatic (read : intelligence) assistance by the USA and Co.
9. I also do expect Russia to enter into the (potential) USA regime change endeavour in Iran, so one might be well-advised to anticipate some escalation on the USA-Russian front as well.
10. To complete my speculations, I even might suggest, that the coming (USA) SA-Iranian war - notably the second military confrontation after the western supported proxy war between Iraq and Iran some decades ago - maybe will take place under the protective shadow of a cloud, formed by a possible semi-military conflict between the USA and North-Korea, which in its turn might easily seduce / provoke China to step in.
11. Yes 2018 might indeed become a formidable year on the level of military confrontation between the worlds super powers, with the USA guided these days by the highly dangerous loose canon Donald Trump, who not too long ago dared to declare that he did not understand why the nuclear option would not be treated as an ordinary tactical military tool on the battlefield, in stead of the traditional strategic role in the realms of the international military mutual deterrent doctrine.,,,

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