zaterdag 24 maart 2018





As we look back on the horror of Iraq 15 years later, I wonder – would this have happened if Trump was president?

Those crossed swords in Baghdad, the rockets swooping heavenwards in the giant wall painting in his palace conference room, the military parades – they would surely have tickled the interest of the present lunatic in the White House. Kim Jong-un is Trump’s Saddam


March 25  2018

It might have been avoided. Fifteen years ago this week, we invaded Iraq. It was a criminal war. Indeed, it was a war crime. It had no UN resolutions to excuse its cruelty. It left a wealthy Arab nation in ruins and its sons and daughters dead in their hundreds of thousands. A million? A million and a half today? Who knows? Who cares? We don’t do body counts. We don’t tell the truth. It’s not that we lied. We set a new record for lying.
So surely only a Donald Trump could have spared us this tragedy. Given his own spectacular capacity for dishonesty and sheer insanity, he could have matched Saddam. Only Saddam, with his gas and nuclear ambitions and crazed self-regard could have attracted Trump. Those crossed swords in Baghdad, the rockets swooping heavenwards in the giant wall painting in his palace conference room, the military parades, the butchered family members, would surely have tickled the interest of the present lunatic in the White House. Kim Jong-un is Trump’s Saddam.
It might have been. Saddam was threatened with “shock and awe”. Which is pretty much what Trump threatened to do to Kim: “fire and fury”.
“A madman”. Isn’t that what Bush thought about Saddam? Isn’t that what Trump said about Kim? And “Mr Rocket Man”. That pretty much fits Saddam. And that’s what Trump called Kim.
No, Bush and Blair were too moral, too good, too honest, too deceitful to avoid their own crimes against humanity. They wouldn’t sit down with the “Hitler of the Tigris”. Trump might have done just that.
But we all know what happened in that pre-Trumpian age 15 years ago. The slaughter of the innocent, fire and civil war and sectarianism and executions – and torture, for let us not now forget Abu Ghraib – and then Isis, and the very firmament streamed with blood. For we must remember today – I’m setting Trump aside for a moment – how the 2003 Iraq invasion and the mass resistance to our Western aggression led directly to the foundation of a new form of Islamism. It was nurtured in the prisons and torture camps, and then, as Iraq – plundered and then left to rot in bankruptcy and corruption – broke apart, Isis gained strength from the terrible theological divide in Islam. If Saddam was Hitler, soon the US Joint Chiefs of Staff would decide (in August 2014, if you don’t believe me) that Isis was “apocalyptic”, an organisation with an “end-of-world vision”.
In the West, it’s easy to chop off Middle East events into easily consumable news cycles which have no connection to each other, bite-sized chunks of horror which distance and ignorance and lack of compassion can easily dissolve. It’s not that many years since the British Labour Party decided it was “time to move on” from the Iraq war, as if this mass butchery was just a domestic breakup, a messy divorce, a family dispute. But no one in the Middle East would understand this. The Arabs who suffer the consequences naturally see events as a continuum, one bloody event leading to another bloody result; for these tragedies do not occur in a vacuum, separated neatly by superpower invasions or threats or missile attacks or prime-time news or terror that crosses national frontiers.
Thus if the Iraq war led to Isis – which it did – so Isis crossed and re-crossed the Iraqi-Syrian frontier and brought its savagery to Syria’s civil war. Thus Raqqa begat Mosul which begat a series of towns with forgettable names – parts of eastern Ghouta, for example; Afrin. For these are also our heritage to the people of the Middle East. And if Iraq’s new Shia Muslim power naturally attracted the Iranians, so Saudi Arabia saw Iran’s hand in Yemen and we are now arming the Saudis to continue their bombing of Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen, supposedly armed by the Iranians. Another 10,000 dead.
Our weapons – to the Iraqi government and to the jihadis of Syria – ended up in Isis’s hands and as the Syrian regime wobbled, Russia arrived with its own military power. The “war on terror” – which for us began on 9/11 – morphed into the war on Afghanistan and then, with scrupulous duplicity, into the war against Saddam and then the war on Isis and now the destruction of the Kurds (our allies, remember) and a new alliance between Moscow and Nato’s largest army (the Turkish variety under the Sultan Erdogan). Forget justice. Forget dignity. Forget education. We were not interested in these desperate, justified ambitions of the people of the Middle East.
And it goes on. In Mosul this past week, they reckoned they still had more than 10 million tons of rubble to clear. Since 2013, the Iraqis have sentenced more than 3,000 prisoners to death. Since 2014, 250 accused Isis members have been hanged, a hundred of them last year alone. Detainees and prisoners in Iraq – this courtesy of both Human Rights Watch and Reuters – now number 20,000 men and women, 6,000 of them in the Nassariya prison in southern Iraq alone. This figure is of Saddamite proportions.
And our wars over the past 15 years have been too titanic to leave any place for the poor old Palestinians under the longest military occupation in modern history, so costly that we must pay our tab by selling even more billions of dollars of weapons to the Gulf Arabs to fuel the Sunni-Shia civil war. We destroy Baghdad. We destroy Mosul. The Russians help to destroy Aleppo and Ghouta. Then we destroy Raqqa. We alternately weep for the civilians of Aleppo and Ghouta and turn our shining faces from the dead of Mosul and Raqqa, and we all know the reasons why. But we are kingmakers. If we can destroy this ancient land of Mesopotamia, why, we can declare Jerusalem the capital of Israel and Theresa May can tell the world that Britain still feels “pride” in the Balfour Declaration.
So surely Trump was pre-ordained, predestined, for this shameful theatre. If he can decide who owns Jerusalem and prepare himself to talk to Kim, then he is also the might-have-been of history. Had his amoral presidency existed in 2003, he might have flown to Baghdad and chatted to the old rogue by the Tigris – and saved the Middle East. No Iraq war. No Middle Eastern bloodbath. Think about it. The real verdict on the Trump presidency could be – the man who came to power too late!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My Comments ;
Had his amoral presidency existed in 2003, he might have flown to Baghdad and chatted to the old rogue by the Tigris – and saved the Middle East. No Iraq war. No Middle Eastern bloodbath.
Lovely irony from war-veteran Fisk here no doubt (for of all people, Fisk is the man with primal knowledge on the subject), for Trump would have invaded Iraq as well as Bush / Blair  did, because Bush and Blair then were as addicted to the reli-colonial Tel Aviv dictate as Trump is now.
Moreover : As Trump has been completely dependent for his election on PAC funds from Jewish zionists he never would have had any choice but to declare war on all the nations that Bush and Blair signed on.
Just as Trump will )have to) deliver on attacking Iran and Libanon, in order to guarantee Tel Aviv regional hegemony 


dinsdag 20 maart 2018

Cambridge University asks Facebook for evidence about role of academic






Cambridge University asks Facebook for evidence about role of academic

Institution wants Facebook to confirm Aleksandr Kogan used no university data, resources or facilities to pass data to Cambridge Analytica
Alex Kogan
 Facebook has said Alex Kogan violated its rules by passing user information on to Cambridge Analytica. Photograph: Alex Kogan
Cambridge University has announced it is looking more closely into the activities of Aleksandr Kogan, the academic embroiled in the scandal over the use of Facebook data by the political consultancy Cambridge Analytica.
The university said it had asked Facebook to provide “all relevant evidence” about Kogan in relation to his involvement with the company’s data that may later have been passed to Cambridge Analytica.
Kogan has been banned from Facebook amid accusations he was involved in gathering the personal data of millions of Facebook users through an app without their knowledge.
The university said Kogan had not been suspended from his Cambridge role and was “continuing with his academic research”.
In a statement, Cambridge admitted it had given Kogan permission to work with St Petersburg University, but was careful to emphasise that the project was separate from his work at Cambridge, where he was a researcher in the psychology department.
The university also sought to make clear that it had no connection with Cambridge Analytica.
“We are aware that Dr Kogan established his own commercial enterprise, Global Science Research (GSR). We have previously sought and received assurances from Dr Kogan that no university data, resources or facilities were used as the basis for his work with GSR or the company’s subsequent work with any other party,” the university said.
“The University of Cambridge takes matters of research integrity and data protection extremely seriously. We have, to date, found no evidence to contradict Dr Kogan’s previous assurances. Nevertheless, we are writing to Facebook to request all relevant evidence in their possession.”
According to his CV on Cambridge’s website, Kogan graduated from the University of California, Berkeley in 2008, and completed a doctorate at Hong Kong University in 2011. He held a post-doctoral fellowship at the University of Toronto before joining Cambridge in 2012.
The CV lists his Cambridge post as university lecturer (assistant professor) in the psychology department from 2012 onwards, as well as being director of the Cambridge pro-sociality and wellbeing laboratory.
“Alex’s research interests are broadly centred on the biological, contextual, cultural and experiential forces that shape human kindness and wellbeing,” according to the laboratory’s profile.
A university spokesperson said it was common for Cambridge academics to have outside business interests, “but they must satisfy the university that these are held in a personal capacity and that there are no conflicts of interest”.
“Researchers could also undertake external academic research provided it did not interfere with their university duties,” the spokesperson said.
“We understand that Dr Kogan correctly sought permission from his head of department at the time to work with St Petersburg University; it was understood that this work and any associated grants would be in a private capacity, separate to his work at the University of Cambridge.
“Finally, we would like to make it clear that, despite its name, Cambridge Analytica has no connection or association with the University of Cambridge whatsoever.”
Play Video
1:06
 Cambridge Analytica caught in undercover sting boasting about entrapping politicians - video
Kogan has said he is confident that everything done was legal. He has said he does not believe his research team misused the Facebook permissions and that collaboration ended 2014.
Cambridge’s statement said Kogan was also known by the married name of Spectre, which is noted on his CV with the comment: “Before my marriage, I published under the name Aleksandr Kogan.”
Christopher Wylie, a whistleblower who had worked with Cambridge Analytica, has said personal information obtained from Facebook using the app was passed on to the company without users’ knowledge.

Cambridge Analytica execs boast of role in getting Trump elected

Cambridge Analytica execs boast of role in getting Trump elected

Execs from firm at heart of Facebook data breach say they used ‘unattributable and untrackable’ ads, according to undercover expose
Senior executives from the firm at the heart of Facebook’s data breach boasted of playing a key role in bringing Donald Trump to power and said they used “unattributable and untrackable” advertising to support their clients in elections, according to an undercover expose.
In secretly recorded conversations, Cambridge Analytica’s CEO, Alexander Nix, claimed he had met Trump “many times”, while another senior member of staff said the firm was behind the “defeat crooked Hillary” advertising campaign.
“We just put information into the bloodstream of the internet and then watch it grow, give it a little push every now and again over time to watch it take shape,” said the executive. “And so this stuff infiltrates the online community, but with no branding, so it’s unattributable, untrackable.”
Caught on camera by an undercover team from Channel 4 News, Nix was also dismissive of Democrats on the House intelligence committee, who had questioned him over Russian meddling in the 2016 campaign.
Senior managers then appeared to suggest that in their work for US clients, there was planned division of work between official campaigns and unaffiliated “political action groups”.
That could be considered coordination – which is not allowed under US election law. The firm has denied any wrongdoing.
Cambridge Analytica said it had a firewall policy in place, signed by all staff and strictly enforced.
Play Video
3:41
 Everything you need to know about the Cambridge Analytica exposé – video explainer
The disclosures are the latest to hit Cambridge Analytica, which has been under mounting pressure since Sunday, when the Observer reported the company had unauthorised access to tens of millions of Facebook profiles – and used them to build a political targeting system.
In Tuesday’s second instalment of an undercover investigation by Channel 4 News in association with the Observer, Nix said he had a close working relationship with Trump and claimed Cambridge Analytica was pivotal to his successful campaign.
“We did all the research, all the data, all the analytics, all the targeting. We ran all the digital campaign, the digital campaign, the television campaign and our data informed all the strategy,” he told reporters who were posing as potential clients from Sri Lanka.
The company’s head of data, Alex Tayler, added: “When you think about the fact that Donald Trump lost the popular vote by 3m votes but won the electoral college vote that’s down to the data and the research.
“You did your rallies in the right locations, you moved more people out in those key swing states on election day. That’s how he won the election.”
Another executive, Mark Turnbull, managing director of Cambridge Analytica’s political division, was recorded saying: “He won by 40,000 votes in three states. The margins were tiny.”
Turnbull took credit for one of the most well known and controversial campaigns of the last presidential campaign, organised by the political action group Make America Number 1.
“The brand was ‘Defeat Crooked Hillary’. You’ll remember this of course?” he told the undercover reporter. “The zeros, the OO of crooked were a pair of handcuffs ... We made hundreds of different kinds of creative, and we put it online.”
Turnbull said the company sometimes used “proxy organisations”, including charities and activist groups, to help disseminate the messages – and keep the company’s involvement in the background.
When the undercover reporter expressed worries that American authorities might seize on details of a dirty campaign, Nix said the US had no jurisdiction over Cambridge Analytica, even though the company is American and is registered in Delaware.
“I’m absolutely convinced that they have no jurisdiction,” he told the purported client. “So if US authorities came asking for information, they would simply refuse to collaborate. “We’ll say: none of your business.”
Turnbull added. “We don’t talk about our clients.”
Play Video
1:06
 Cambridge Analytica caught in undercover sting boasting about entrapping politicians - video
Speaking to Channel 4 News before seeing the undercover film, Hillary Clintonsaid: “There was a new kind of campaign that was being run on the other side, that nobody had ever faced before. Because it wasn’t just all about me. It was about how to suppress voters who were inclined to vote for me … when you have a massive propaganda effort to prevent people from thinking straight, because they’re being flooded with false information.”
In the report, Nix also implied that it was possible to mislead authorities by omission, discussing his appearance in front of the House intelligence committee, for its inquiry into possible Russian election meddling.
The Republicans only asked three questions, which took five minutes, he told the reporter. And while the Democrats spent two hours questioning him, he claimed they were so far out of their depths that he didn’t mind responding.
“We have no secrets. They’re politicians, they’re not technical. They don’t understand how it works,” he said, when asked about whether he was forced to testify.
He went on to describe how political candidates are manipulated.
“They don’t understand because the candidate never, is never involved. He’s told what to do by the campaign team.” The reporter asks if that means the candidate is just a puppet, and Nix replies simply: “Always.”
In another exchange, Tayler describes an apparently planned division of spending on the campaign trail, with the candidate organising “positive” messages, with negative attack ads left to the super Pacs, which may engage in unlimited political spending independently of the campaigns.
“As part of it, sometimes you have to separate it from the political campaign itself ... campaigns are normally subject to limits about how much money they can raise. Whereas outside groups can raise an unlimited amount.”
“So the campaign will use their finite resources for things like persuasion and mobilisation and then they leave the ‘air war’ they call it, like the negative attack ads to other affiliated groups.”
This raises questions over whether Cambridge Analytica blurred the boundaries between official campaign groups, which have spending limits, and unaffiliated political action groups or super Pacs. 
The latter can spend as much as they want but must not coordinate with the candidate they support.
The Campaign Legal Center has accused Cambridge Analytica over allegations of illegal coordination of this nature.
It has filed evidence with the FEC alleging that the super Pac Make America Number 1 made illegal contributions to Trump’s campaign, “engaging in unlawful coordinated spending by using the common vendor Cambridge Analytica”.
Cambridge Analytica said it had never claimed to have won the election for Donald Trump.
“This is patently absurd. We are proud of the work we did on that campaign, and have spoken in many public forums about what we consider to be our contribution to the campaign.”
It said there was no evidence of coordination between the Make America Number 1 super Pac and the Trump campaign. The company said it was not under investigation.
It has accused the Channel 4 News undercover investigation of grossly misrepresenting how the company conducts its business.
However, speaking to the BBC on Monday, Nix said he had “huge amounts of regret that we undertook this meeting and spoke with a certain amount of hyperbole”.
On Tuesday the website Politico reported that Trump’s 2020 campaign was moving to distance itself from Cambridge Analytica. A campaign official told Politico it had no existing contracts with the firm and no plans to hire it in the future.

Saudi crown prince begins US trip as allies share concerns about Trump








Saudi crown prince begins US trip as allies share concerns about Trump

Mohammed bin Salman hopes to seal major business deals during a three-week tour but the failure of his relationship with Jared Kushner to deliver progress on Middle East peace and Iran has left him exposed
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Al-Saud has been cautioned by regional allies who are unsettled by Donald Trump’s volatility and unpredictability.
 Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Al-Saud has been cautioned by regional allies who are unsettled by Donald Trump’s volatility and unpredictability. Photograph: Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
Ahead of his first visit to Washington as heir to the Saudi throne, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has been warned to set a distance between himself and Donald Trump, who some regional advisers have come to regard as volatile and unpredictable.
The US president will receive Prince Mohammed in the White House on Tuesday during a reciprocal visit after Trump’s high-profile trip to Saudi Arabia last Maywhen – on his first trip abroad as leader – he reset bilateral ties, which had become strained under Barack Obama.
The White House meeting marks the beginning of a three-week, seven-city trip to the US, in which Prince Mohammed will travel with an entourage of officials and business leaders, seeking to strike deals with Silicon Valley firms and oil and gas companies in Texas.
A senior US administration official said the Trump administration would be lobbying for $35bn in deals for US companies.
Prince Mohammed’s arrival aims to build on political and business connections that have been strengthened ever since Trump’s visit to Riyadh – particularly through his son-in-law and envoy, Jared Kushner.
However, as Trump and Kushner face mounting travails on the home front, regional allies – initially buoyed by Washington’s renewed support – are now striking a cautionary tone to the Saudi prince.
Over the past 10 months, Prince Mohammed has struck up a warm rapport with Kushner, who has been a regular guest in Riyadh, where he has discussed two of the region’s most intractable issues: peace between Israel and the Palestinians and how to counter Iran.
However, efforts on both fronts have so far been counterproductive, officials have told the Guardian, leaving both men – but in particular Prince Mohammed – exposed.
At the same time, concerns have mounted about legal pressures facing the president and Kushner, who have been targets of the Mueller investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential poll.
Kushner is Trump’s unofficial envoy to the Middle East, but further concerns were raised in the region last month when his security clearance was revoked. Reports from Washington said this was partly because of his extensive and sometimes undeclared foreign contacts.
More broadly, the high turnover of senior administration staff and Trump’s unorthodox way of making policy via Twitter instead of an executive process have unsettled allies in the Middle East, who are not sure what to make of his policies, or temperament.
“Everyone has spent a lot of time second-guessing him,” said a regional official. “And it’s making his friends wary.”
Play Video
3:18
 Reformer or rogue? Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman – video profile
During his visit to Washington, the Saudi prince will meet the CIA director – and nominee to be the next US secretary of state – Mike Pompeo, as well as Vice-President Mike Pence, Trump’s embattled national security adviser, HR McMaster, and defence secretary, James Mattis.
Both Kushner and Trump had been keen to present their version of a Middle East peace plan, which would bring Israel and the Palestinians together after 70 years.
But after the White House recognised Jerusalem as Israel’s capital – in a move which Trump said removed a stumbling block from peace talks – the Palestinians rejected the US as a broker.
According to regional leaders familiar with basic details of what was being put together, Prince Mohammed was to be responsible for bringing the Palestinians to the table, while Kushner was to do the same with Israel and its backers among Jewish groups in the US..
“The problem, though, was Jerusalem,” said the regional leader. “[Palestinian president] Mahmoud Abbas is under a lot of pressure from the Saudis about this, and he is very stressed and ill because of it. What were they thinking? How can the root cause of all of this no longer be at the centre of a solution?”
While Saudi Arabia earlier this year denied claims that Jerusalem was no longer a centrepiece of peace talks between the two sides, a senior Palestinian official confirmed to the Guardian that such a proposal has been made “at senior levels”. Citing the sensitivity of the discussions, the official would not elaborate.
A government member in a Gulf state, who demanded anonymity, corroborated the account, but said that after an initial discussion had begun between senior officials in December, no further talks had been held. On Monday, Abbas called Trump’s ambassador to Israel, a “son of a dog”.
New approaches towards intractable issues have become trademarks of Prince Mohammed’s brief reign as Crown Prince. While he has achieved some change domestically, with a series of social changes – including moves to break down rigid rules that have marginalised women in Saudi society – he has not achieved the same results on the international front.
In Yemen, Saudi Arabia remains bogged down in a war with Iranian-backed Houthi rebels and has imposed a punishing blockade on an impoverished population, that has drawn widespread international condemnation. A nine-month standoff with Qatar also remains unresolved.
Yemen is likely to be up for discussion in Washington, although Trump has shown little interest in the war.
Prince Mohammed is expected to meet senior leaders of corporations such as Google, Apple, General Electric and Uber while in the US, as well as Hollywood producers.
After Washington, Prince Mohammed is due to fly to Boston, New York, Seattle, San Francisco, Los Angeles and Houston. At the last stop he is hoping to lure more of the US oil sector to Saudi Arabia, doubling down on Trump’s pivot away from clean energy towards fossil fuels.
Briefing reporters in Washington, the Saudi foreign minister, Adel al-Jubeir, said the kingdom was in discussion with the US about contracts to build nuclear reactors for the energy sector, but was assessing cooperation with Russia, China, France, South Korea and Japan.